Nick Pratto: First Baseman of the Future or Trade Candidate?

Pratto got his first shot in the majors in July against the Toronto Blue Jays due to 10 Royals players being unvaccinated. In that series, Pratto went 4-for-15 with a double, his first MLB home run, and an RBI. He got sent down after the series but was back up the week after. His 2022 season wasn't totally how it was supposed to play out, as there was some obvious regression after blowing up minor league ball in '21. There was a key issue for Pratto that hurt him in the minors a bit and in the majors a lot.

His K% to BB% is very extreme, to say the least. Starting with the good news, Pratto knows how to draw walks at an above-average rate in the major leagues at 10.4%. In Triple-A, he was elite at drawing walks as he had a 15.8% walk rate. This is really good for any player, let alone a young one. The issue arises with the other extreme.

Pratto strikes out too much. While in Triple-A last season, he had a K-rate of 30.5%, a career-high in his pro ball career. That 30.5% figure ballooned to 36.3% with the Royals, which is very concerning. This may be a core issue for Pratto, but another thing that didn't help was his overall lack of power in the majors.

Pratto slugged .386 in Kansas City, his lowest SLG since 2019. His .203 ISO is misleading due to this, because the formula for ISO is SLG-AVG. So, if you want a positive . . . when Pratto gets hits, they tend to be of the extra-base variety. These trends are not inherently great, though, given that the Royals have Vinnie Pasquantino and have re-signed Ryan O'Hearn.

This has hurt Pratto's trade value a little bit, but not as much as one would think. According to Baseball Trade Values, he has a median value of 16.1, which would be the fifth-highest on the Royals. Kansas City hasn't been known for dealing prospects in recent years, but Pratto could be the one they do move due to said value. The most recent deal of this sort the Royals have done is the three-team trade that sent Franchy Cordero to Boston for Andrew Benintendi and Khalil Lee to the Mets for a player to be named later. Looking back at prospect trades the Royals have done, it isn't great. 

There was the Ashton Goudeau trade that ended up being a non-factor swap for both teams involved. In the A.J. Puckett and Andre Davis trade for Melky Cabrera, Puckett was a top prospect and he hasn't reached the majors yet with the White Sox. And who can forget the Esteury Ruiz, Matt Strahm and Travis Wood trade that netted the Royals Brandon Maurer, Ryan Buchter, and Trevor Cahill? 

Hindsight is 20/20, but it seems that the Royals have not been great at trading prospects since the 2015 season. The initial Benintendi deal looked good on paper, but he's no longer on the team. There is one positive, though, if there are trade talks for Pratto: He's probably the highest-valued candidate of the bunch listed above. Are the Royals likely to deal him? Probably not right now. Should they once the offseason starts to get going? If they want to make a move for pitching, this would be the move to make since first base is already covered. 

The Royals are trying to be more competitive next year, and for the next couple of years, but they have limited their options by not trading some excess prospects for proven talent. In order to move the needle more, if desired, Pratto or others would have to be shopped at the very least.